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Episode 26September 25, 2023
Michael Hyatt, Founder of BlueCat | How to Survive Down Cycles and Get to Product Market Fit
About this episode
Michael Hyatt founded BlueCat, which was sold for over $700M. Since then he’s shifted to the investor side and has invested in dozens of startups.
Through it all, Michael has seen three financial crashes: the Dotcom boom and bust, the financial crash of 2008 and the recession we are facing today. He shares several insights on what it’s like to be a founder and investor through these storms.
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Follow the showTranscript
The full conversation.
Pablo
0:00
So
this
episode
with
Michael
Hyatt
was
a
bit
different
honestly
than
all
the
others.
Let
me
know
what
you
think.
We
didn't
do
like
the
normal
kind
of
storyline
that
we
usually
do.
Michael
is
a
super
seasoned
founder.
He's
been
in
the
game
since
like
the
late
'90s,
started
a
couple
of
companies.
His
latest
one,
BlueCat,
recently
was
sold
for
like
$700
million.
So
really,
really
accomplished
founder,
now
turned
investor.
And
we
talk
a
bit
about
that
journey,
but
we
actually
spent
a
lot
more
time
talking
about
his
perspective.
Because
now
he's
an
investor
and
so
he's
got
a
perspective
of
the
Dotcom
crash,
the
financial
crash
in
2008.
And
now
the
recession
we're
facing.
We
talk
a
lot
about
what
it's
like
to
be
a
wartime
CEO.
We
talk
about
comparing
the
internet
boom
to
like
the
AI
boom
today.
And
at
the
end
he
ends
with
his
like
number
one
piece
of
advice
for
founders,
which
honestly
is
pretty
different
than
what
I
would've
expected.
Welcome
to
the
product
Market
Fit
show,
brought
to
you
by
Mistral,
a
seat
stage
firm
based
in
Canada.
I'm
Pablo.
I'm
a
founder
turned
VC.
My
goal
is
to
help
early
stage
founders
like
you
find
product
market
fit.
Michael
1:12
So
the
start
was
actually,
we
started
back
in
the
'90s.
My
brother
and
I
when
I
went
to
–
I
graduated
from
university
in
a
recession.
And
we
actually
started
our
first
software
company.
It
was
not
BlueCat.
It
was
an
engineering
software
company.
We
started
with
my
dad
and
my
brother,
and
actually,
my
mom
back
in
the
'90s.
And
it
was
a
very
different
time.
It's
kind
of
hard
to
explain
what
it's
like
in
the
'90s
to
have
a
software
company.
Because,
you
know,
the
internet
wasn't
really
around.
So
what
you
would
do,
and
this
sounds
really
kind
of
crazy,
but
you
would
write
software.
You'd
save
it
to
a
disk.
And
you'd
take
that
disk
and
go
to
a
post
office,
which
I'm
not
sure
people
know
what
that
is
either.
And
you
would
mail
the
disk
to
somebody.
And
then
you'd
call
them
a
couple
of
days
later
and
ask
them
to
put
the
disk
in
the
disk
drive
and
that
you'd
be
coaching
them
to
install
the
software.
Then
you
try
to
do
a
walk-through
over
the
phone
of
what
your
product
does.
I
know
that
sounds
a
bit
nuts,
but
it
worked.
And
we
actually
built
a
very
successful
engineering
software
company.
And
the
world
went
crazy
as
the
internet
was
coming
in.
Prospectively,
what's
interesting
about
that
time,
there
was
really
only
80
million
broadband
subscribers
on
the
whole
planet.
Now
there's
3,
4
billion.
It’s
actually
far
more
than
that,
probably.
But
then,
there
wasn't
actually
that
many
people
on
the
internet
at
fast
speeds
to
do
anything.
And
there
was
a
crash,
a
pretty
bad
one,
around
2001.
And
after
that
crash,
we
decided
that
the
internet
was
probably
here
to
stay.
And
if
we
wanted
to
lose
either
our
telephone
or
our
email,
and
we
decided,
well,
we'd
probably
always
lose
our
phone,
but
always
wanted
to
keep
our
email.
And
we
thought
that
infrastructure
would
keep
going.
And
so
we
built
BlueCat
around
needing
to
build
a
DNS
server
for
ourselves.
And
we
built
it.
Instead
of
spending
20
or
$30,000,
we
built
our
own,
used
our
own
software.
And
we
got
to
configure
it
and
set
up
that
device
so
quickly,
we
thought
we
could
start
selling
them.
Because
the
data
center,
they
had
fired
so
many
people
out
of
the
data
center
because
there
was
so
much
unemployment
in
2001
in
the
tech
space.
We
thought
if
we
started
selling
these,
set
it
and
forget
it
DNS
servers,
it
would
actually
save
time
and
money
and
people
would
just
really
enjoy
them.
And
that's
what
happened.
So
BlueCat
started.
It's
not
like
there
wasn't
any
venture
capital.
Like
now,
in
2008,
it's
just
this
dearth
where
you
really
couldn't
get
it.
So
we
really
didn't
start
off
with
any
money.
I
mean,
prospectively,
we
didn't
actually
raise
money
until
we
had
revenues
of
about
$5
million.
So
if
you
think
about
that
for
a
second,
that's
why
Richard
and
I
owned
the
majority
of
the
company.
And
that's
kind
of
a
key
learning
early,
is
that
if
you
can
sell
early
and
have
a
high
gross
margin
early
enough,
which
is
the
key
number
I
think
in
your,
in
your
P&L
and
you
can
carry
that
out
–
because
a
high
gross
margin
means
you
finally
get
to
a
net
margin.
We
were
profitable
very,
very
early
and
we
were
able
to
build
or
VC
our
own
company,
if
you
will.
Pablo
3:57
And
walk
me
through
–
because
your
first
company,
it
was
called
Dya
–
what
was
it
called?
Michael
4:03
Dyadem,
it
was
called
Dyadem.
Yeah.
Pablo
4:05
Dyadem,
you
left
that
–
like
you
were
CEO
of
that
company,
right?
And
2001,
that's
when
you
left
over
to
BlueCat.
Who
takes
over
that
company
at
that
time?
Or
how
do
you
do
that
transition?
Your Gross Margin is the key
Michael
4:15
Oh,
so
I
was
CEO
of
both
companies
and
I
–
so
an
engineering
software
company
and
a
network
compliance
company.
And
then
what
happened
after
a
while
is
that
they
were
both
really
growing.
And
I
couldn't
do
both.
So
we
promoted
a
guy
named
Kevin
North,
who's
spectacular.
You
can
find
him
on
LinkedIn.
And
he's
a
great
CEO
now,
as
well
and
a
founder.
But
we
promoted
him.
Basically,
Kevin
was
a
childhood
friend
of
ours,
literally
from
age
13.
And
he
kind
of
built
Dyadem
with
us.
And
he
became
the
CEO,
did
a
great
job.
And
I
stayed
on
the
board.
We
stayed
the
majority
shareholders
all
the
way
through
selling
that
company
in
2011.
But
that
was
a
great
exit
for
us.
And
that
was
a
really,
really
nice
exit.
And
then
we
sold
BlueCat
eventually
in
2017
the
first
time
for
400
million.
And
then
we
sold
it
a
second
time
as
a
minority
shareholder.
Typically,
our
minority
holdings
was
even
greater
than
most
founders’
final
holdings.
Anyways,
we
sold
it
again
for
700
million,
so
kind
of
collectively
well
over
a
billion
for
both
companies.
And
it
was
very
nice
because
it
was
all,
you
know,
cap
table
management.
If
you
think
about
BlueCat,
you
know,
I
find
it
funny
how
much
money
people
raised
today.
Because
to
get
those
exits,
we
raised
a
total
net
amount
of
$27
million,
so
–
to
get
those
kind
of
exits.
So
I
would
say
that
we
did
really,
really
well.
We
were
very
capital
efficient.
But
Blue
Cat
today,
you
know,
it's
well
over
a
hundred
million
in
revenue.
It
has
a
huge
gross
margin.
It
has
a
huge
net
margin.
It
prints
a
lot
of
cash
and
does
very
well.
You
can
read
about
it
[unclear]
acquisitions.
And
why
is
that?
It's
because
it's
that
kind
of
nice
sticky
niche
business
that
has
a
very
high
gross
margin.
And
I
think
a
lot
of
companies
are
just
so
focused
on
the
top
line
and
getting
any
kind
of
growth
and
sacrificing
that
gross
margin.
So
if
you
don't
have
a
big
gross
margin,
you'll
never
have
a
net
margin.
And
I
keep
saying
that
because
I
see
companies
that
have
huge
revenue
growth
and
negative
gross
margins.
And
I
sit
there
and
I
think
to
myself,
well
mathematically,
they
can
never
be
a
company.
But
people
don't
want
to
hear
that.
They
want
to
hear,
oh,
we're
growing.
And
they
just
throw
up
the
top
line
ARR
number
to
you
all
the
time.
Pablo
6:19
How
does
that
happen?
Like
we'll
go
back
and
we’ll
just
jump
around
here.
But
like
how
does
that
happen,
right?
Like
we've
all
heard
those
stories
and
high
level.
It's
like,
yeah,
like,
you
know,
VCs
get
excited.
Everybody
wants
just
straight
growth.
But
when
I
saw
that
some
of
these
companies
that
are
now,
you
know,
effectively
bankrupt
like
Unicorn,
to
bankrupt
overnight,
you
know,
we're
operating
a
negative
contribution
margin.
Like
forget,
you
know,
being
profitable.
Forget
even
having
[unclear]
that's
profitable.
I
mean,
you're
losing
dollars
on
every
single
order.
You
know,
you
have
a
vantage
point
on
this
as
well.
How
do
you
think
that
even
–
how
does
a
founder
allow
that
to
happen?
I
mean,
to
your
own
business,
to
basically
sell
a
dollar
for
90
cents?
Michael
6:55
When
I
see
a
company
go
through
a
massive
downturn
or
go
under,
I
ask
one
question,
where
was
the
board?
Because
the
board
is
meant
to
help,
you
know,
brinkmanship,
those
kind
of
things.
And
this
is
not
going
to
be
a
great
answer.
And
you
probably
don't
want
to
hear
this
answer.
But
you
know,
sitting
here
with
interest
rates
have
gone
up
19
times
or
some
crazy
time,
you
know,
effectively
back
when
all
those
money
–
all
those
companies
got
funded
in
2018,
19,
20,
21,
on
this
frenzy,
money
was
effectively
zero.
So
money
is
effectively
priced
zero.
So
the
risk
of
money
–
so
what
happened
is
that
every
endowment
fund,
every
software
fund,
everybody
pushed
money
into
private
equity
and
venture
capital.
Venture
capital
is
typically
more
risky
than
private
equity.
So
you
push
more
and
more
money
into
it.
And
if
I
talk
to
the
average
venture
capital
company
in
2019
or
2020,
regardless
of
the
pandemic,
they
were
like,
“We
could
raise
whatever
money
we
want
right
now.”
Why?
Because
effectively,
interest
rates
are
zero.
The
price
of
money
was
effectively
zero.
Okay,
so
what
does
that
mean?
That
means
that
if
the
tap
is
always
on
–
and
no
one
could
even
imagine
inflation.
I
mean,
we
haven't
seen
inflation
since
1981.
So
no
one
you
know
has
actually
worked
in
a
world
with
inflation.
And
no
one
could
imagine
inflation.
And
I'm
going
to
say
something
–
probably
I'm
not
going
to
be
welcome
to
too
many
VC
parties.
But
listen,
the
VCs
are
guilty.
And
the
boards
are
guilty
in
this,
too.
Because
what
happens
is
that
they
go
back
and
they
say,
“Look,
we
just
did
another
up
round.
Look
at
the
revenue
raise
on
this
company.”
And
then
they'll
do
a
multiple
of
that
revenue.
They'll
do
another
raise.
And
then
they'll
write
an
IRR.
And
they'll
write
an
MOIC
number
to
it.
And
they'll
tell
everybody.
And
they'll
raise
another
fund.
See,
I
see
a
little
bit
of
a
conspiracy
going
on
where
I
think
that
a
lot
of
the
VCs
probably
know
that
they
probably
have
to
fix
the
economics,
but
I
think
they
think
that
eventually
that'll
fix
itself.
And
you
just
keep
growing
and
you
do
so
much
land
grab
and
–
by
growing
revenue.
And
you
buy
that
land
grab
with
a
negative
gross
margin
or
no
gross
margin
that
eventually
maybe
[unclear]
strategy
that
it
actually
comes
out.
In
that
meantime,
they
show
these
multiples
and
these
massive
multiple
jumps
and
people
will
fund
their
next
fund.
And
they
do
it
through
a
kind
of
a
–
they're
under
a
game
of
applying
these
assets.
And
I
think
they're
thinking
that
they
can
always
raise
money
for
these
companies
that
are
going
from
25
to
50
to
75
million
in
revenue.
Why
not?
You
know,
what
could
go
wrong?
But
if
you
run
into
a
world
where
money
now
is
expensive
and
you
know,
you
have
all
these
interest
rate
rises
–
and
by
the
way,
the
FED,
as
we're
having
this
podcast,
says
they
may
raise
rates
two
more
times
this
year.
That
now
makes
it
so
that
money
is
in
competition
with
equities
and
in
competition
with
everything.
And
it's
very
expensive
to
fund
a
VC
right
now,
or
fund
a
private
equity
deal,
or
get
debt,
or
get
leverage
or
get
anything.
So
unit
economics
now
count
more
than
anything.
And
I
think
that
there
seems
to
be
an
understanding,
I
think,
across
the
industry
where,
you
know,
unit
economics
really
do
count.
And
it
really
does
matter
what
you
sell
that
widget
for.
I
mean,
I
sit
down
at
pitches
still
that
talk
about
doing
something
for
free
and
grabbing
landmass
and
having
eyeballs.
I've
actually
seen
those
pitches
as
late
as
last
week.
And
I
think
these
people
just
don't
understand
that
those
aren't
businesses.
Pablo
10:21
Well,
that's
the
question,
right?
Because
like,
you
know,
bringing
it
back
to
the
founder,
I
mean,
I
can
understand
how
everybody
gets
ahead
of
the
game.
And
frankly,
like
the
whole
system
–
you
know,
at
the
end
of
the
day,
the
LPs,
you
know,
in
some
cases,
are
managing
somebody
else's
money.
So
like
they're
happy
with
markups
because
it
makes
them
look
better.
The
VCs
are
happy
with
markups.
It
makes
them
look
better.
It
all
kind
of
–
so
I
buy
into
that.
The
thing
is,
you
know,
so
you're
a
founder.
So
I
was
talking
to
this
founder.
And
I
won't
name
the
company.
There's
just
no
point.
But
it’s
one
of
these
kind
of
close
to
100
ARR,
you
know,
one
to
zero
type
companies.
And
they
were
like,
look,
we
had
two
KPIs.
One
was
top
line
growth,
which
we
crushed
by
the
way.
And
the
other
one
was
customer
satisfaction,
which
we
also
crushed,
right?
And
that
was
the
thing.
And
all
of
a
sudden,
the
world
changed
and
you
know,
everybody
cared
about
like
gross
margin
all
of
a
sudden,
right?
They
cared
about
contribution
margin
all
of
a
sudden.
And
we
just
couldn't
make
the
shifts
fast
enough.
And
they're
the
ones
that
bear
most
of
the
burn,
right?
Like
yeah,
some
VC’s
portfolio
is
going
to
be
impacted.
Some
firms
are
going
to
go
out
of
business.
But
many
of
them
will
probably
weather
the
storm
and
find
a
way
and
whatever.
Like
as
a
founder,
how
do
you
resist
that
urge,
that
temptation
when
–
like
today,
it's
easy
because
nobody's
going
to
fund
that
anyways,
right?
But
like
when
the
things
get
hawed
–
because
you've
been
there
in
2000.
You've
been
there
in
2007.
You've
seen
it
now
again,
like
–
Michael
11:36
Well
look,
Watch out for dilution
Michael
11:37
we,
we
were
driven
by
not
raising
more
capital
to
not
dilute,
to
have
an
ownership
share.
So
what
people
don't
get
about
my
brother
and
I
is
that,
you
know,
people
say,
oh,
you
had
a
400
million
exit
and
a
700
and
this
and
that.
And
those
are
big
exits,
right?
But
that's
not
the
question.
The
question
is,
how
much
of
that
company
did
you
own?
I
can
show
you
people
with
a
$2
billion
exit
that
made
less
money
than
me.
In
fact,
most
of
them
do.
The
average
founder
exits
with
3
to
7%
of
their
company.
You
know,
so
we
understood
that
math
very
early
and
we
understood
a
second
piece
of
math,
which
is
it's
way,
way
harder
to
sell
your
company
for
over
a
billion
than
40
million,
you
know?
And
if
you
look
at
just
a
normalized
distribution
of
sales
of
companies,
most
companies
sell
between
50
and
probably
300
million.
I
don't
know.
I'm
just
making
that
up,
but
I
guarantee
I'm
–
Pablo
12:22
It's
true.
I
think
it's
90%
of
companies
sell
for
under
100
million,
so
definitely.
Michael
12:26
Yeah,
I'm
probably
being
gracious
in
my
numbers.
But
if
you
take
a
look
at
the
tech
companies
that
are
VC-funded,
a
lot
of
–
there's
a
great
saying
in
real
estate.
And
I'm
going
to
put
it
over
to
tech,
is
you
make
your
money
on
the
buy,
not
the
sell.
Meaning
that
you
make
your
money
when
you
–
on
the
entry
price,
not
the
sell
price.
And
there's
a
lot
of
times
when
I
partner
with
VCs
that
have
actually
chosen
the
right
founders
and
the
right
companies
at
the
wrong
price.
And
they'll
get
a
return,
just
not
what
they
think.
So
at
the
end
of
the
day,
we
were
very
dilution
sensitive.
So
we
were
the
governor.
And
we
would
argue
with
the
board
all
the
time.
We
were
pushed
all
the
time
to
take
more
money
on
and
grow
fast.
But
we
didn't
think
we
had
a
better
use
of
that
capital
to
grow
faster
and
just
dilute
for
nothing.
So
we
never
did
it.
We
actually
got
so
profitable
at
BlueCat
early
that
we
actually
ended
up
buying
out
shareholders
and
actually
making
–
owning
more
of
the
company.
I
own
more
of
the
company
at
certain
years
than
I
did
before.
My
ownership
went
up,
which
is
extraordinarily
rare.
Pablo
13:21
And
what's
your
thinking
on
–
because
like
there's
two
ways
to
play
this,
right?
And
I've
seen
both
go
wrong.
One
is
like
not
taking
the
money
when
it's
available,
you
know,
leaving
money
on
the
table
sort
of
thing,
only
to
then
realize
you
needed
it
in
the
worst
of
times,
right?
And
then
the
flip
side
of
it,
though,
is
raising
money
just
because
it's
there.
All
you've
really
done
is
–
and
especially
big
money,
right?
Like
10
million
plus,
20
million
plus,
adding
to
the
prep
stack
and
having
no
clear
way
to
spend
it.
And
so
you've
just
become
a
bloated
company
that
isn't
growing
any
faster
than
before.
And
you
know,
if
you
were
to
sell
for
20,
30
million,
you
might
make
zero
as
a
founder,
right?
Like
how
do
you
think
through
that?
Be honest with yourself
Michael
14:02
When
I
say
never,
pretty
much
never
heard
a
founder
say,
“I
raised
too
much
money.”
And
that's
because
I
think
what
happens,
they
raise
that
money,
then
they
find
a
home
for
it,
which
is
probably
the
mistake.
And
I
think
that
like
people
have
to
be
much
more
honest
with
their
company.
Will
this
company
ever
create
a
net
margin?
And
I
think
that's,
you
know,
that's
incumbent
upon
us
all.
Like
can
you
go
out
there
and
lend
money
at
a
loss,
and
eventually
get
there
to
profitability?
I
don't
think
so.
And
I
see
a
lot
of
like
startups
doing
these
kind
of
micro
banking
lending
money.
And
I'm
just
like,
the
reason
the
banks
don't
do
it
is
they
were
taking
a
60%
loss.
And
that's
why
they
don't
touch
it.
I
mean,
there's
a
lot
of
those
kind
of
things.
There's
reasons
why
companies
don't
do
certain
things
and
the
big
companies
don't
do
them.
But
what
I
would
say
is
that
you
should
have
a
–
like
if
you
raised
$10
million
and
you
have
a
way
to
accelerate
your
revenue
from
50
to
80
million
at
a
better
gross
margin,
then
it's
very
cheap
money.
If
you
are
going
to
accelerate
your
revenue
at
a
falling
gross
margin,
you've
probably
bought
that
revenue,
which
is
probably
not
going
to
work.
I
think,
the
kind
of
rule
is,
when
you
hit
about
70
million
as
a
software
company,
you're
completely
of
scale.
At
70
million,
almost
every
private
equity
company
will
look
at
you
to
maybe
acquire
you.
So
here's
an
interesting
conversation
that
a
lot
of
people
don't
have.
At
70
million,
you
would
probably
say
most
companies
are
trying
to
do
rounds
at
a
billion,
some
kind
of
huge
number.
But
remember,
if
I
put
it,
go
at
a
billion,
I
have
to
get
at
it
3
billion.
I
just
want
to
ask
you
to
do
the
math
on
how
many
companies
exit
at
3
billion
anywhere
in
North
America.
It's
so
small,
you
can't
even
find
them.
Now,
after
a
billion
dollars
to
exit
in
North
America
or
anywhere,
really,
you
have
to
really
either
get
acquired
by
Thoma
Bravo,
Vista
Equity
Partners,
one
of
the
big
private
equity
firms.
And
the
reason
they
acquire
you
is
that
you're
70
million
going
to
90
million
or
100
and
you
have
20,
30
million
on
the
bottom.
And
they
find
a
way
to
expand
that
bottom
line.
They
put
an
equity
check
in.
They
put
debt
in.
And
they
pay
the
debt
with
your
[unclear]. And there's a rule by the management. Those are the three components. Any company that gets bought by those companies for a billion has positive cash flow by 70 million, okay? I mean, they may have zero cashflow, but they're growing at such a fast rate.
They're
taking
off,
whatever.
But
you're
talking
like
you
got
to
be
going
from
70
million
to
120
or
something,
if
you
have
no
cashflow.
But
most
companies,
any
company
that
doesn't
get
acquired
by
that
–
and
a
very,
very
few
proportion
will
get
acquired
by
the
big,
you
know,
Ciscos
and
Googles
and
stuff
like
that
over
a
very
strategic
reason
where
the
revenue
never
mattered
anyway.
Like
they'll
buy
you
for
some
number
because
that's
what
it’s
worth.
Like
WhatsApp
got
bought
by
Facebook
for
19
billion
because
that's
what
it
was
worth
to
them.
It's
a
very
rare
case
scenario.
And
for
everybody
else,
for
you
to
get
over
a
billion
for
your
company,
you’ve
got
to
go
to
Wall
Street.
Now,
here's
the
rob.
When
you
take
your
company
to
Wall
Street,
and
we
saw
it
classically
with
WeWork.
You
know,
they
thought
it
was
worth
45
billion.
It
was
worth
4.5
billion
on
Wall
Street.
And
actually,
now
it's
worth,
I
think,
like
500
million
or
something.
But
they
moved
the
decimal.
Because
the
people
on
Wall
Street,
these
guys
and
girls,
they
don't
have
the
rose-colored
glasses
of
Silicon
Valley.
They
have,
hey
what
are
you
doing?
You're
leasing
out
some
space
and
you're
hedging
the
two
leases?
You're
not
a
revolution.
You're
[unclear], right? Okay, we have one of those over here. And New York Stock Exchange, they're worth 3 billion or 4 billion. You know, that was literally the conversation. So whatever you think of your company, when you go and do a raise of 300 million in valuation, you have to like – to get 3x, you somehow [unclear]
close
to
a
billion.
And
that's
a
very
hard
number
to
achieve.
And
I
don't
think
people
appreciate
that.
It's
far
easier
to
have
a
lower
valuation
with
a
lower
revenue
with
a
profitability,
and
escape
with
a
higher
amount
of
money
for
your
investors
and
you.
Pablo
18:14
So
let's
bring
this
back
down
to
like
the
pre-product
market
fit
founder,
who
–
here's
a
classic
scenario,
right?
What
I
was
alluding
to,
which
is
you're
–
I
mean,
everything
you're
talking
to,
just
remove
a
zero
sort
of
thing,
right?
So
you're
pre-product
market
fit.
You
don't
yet
have,
you
know,
figured
out,
this
is
the
thing
that's
going
to
–
like
this
is
the
pedal
I
can
press
on
to
grow
faster.
You
don't
know
that
yet.
And
this
happened
all
the
time.
Now
it's
not
happening
as
much.
But
it
certainly
happened
in
the
last
two,
three
years.
You
feel
like
you
can
raise
10
million
bucks,
or
people
are
knocking
on
your
door
trying
to
put
10
million
bucks.
Do
you
take
it
or
not?
Like
what's
your
thinking
on
–
because
here's
a
reality,
right?
Like
you
can
put
it
in
the
bank,
but
you
won't
–
you're
going
to
spend
it,
right?
The beauty of land and expand
Michael
18:55
Well,
look,
I've
actually
seen
founders
take
the
money
and
not
spend
it.
And
I
think
that
if
someone
offers
you
[unclear]
like
that.
If
someone
offers
you
10
million
out
of
pre-money
of
40
or
50
million
and
you
have
no
product
released
yet,
I
mean,
those
guys
who
just
–
at
Mistral
or
something
AI
had
just
raised
a
hundred
and
something
million
with
like
no
DAC
and
no
employees,
good
on
them.
Now,
there
are
other
utter
geniuses
who
are
going
to
understand
how
to
just
take
a
pause
and
figure
out
the
company
without
hiring
like
drunken
sailors
and
spending
that
10
million
a
month
or
whatever.
And
if
they
do
that,
they're
going
to
do
really
well.
They
just
happen
to
be
in
a
space
that
moves
very
quickly.
So
they
don't
really
have
the
time.
But
if
anybody
offers
you
that
kind
of
money,
you
should
take
it.
But
that
shouldn't
have
any
application
to
how
you
spend
it.
Because
what
you
should
be
doing
is
figuring
out,
do
I
have
a
product?
And
like
the
decider
of
any
company
isn't
the
founder
and
isn't
the
VCs.
The
decider
of
any
company
is
the
client.
If
a
client
buys
your
product
and
there's
a
land
and
expand,
you
probably
have
a
company.
Like
when
we
go
and
sell
to
a
big
Telco
or
a
big
blue
chip
company,
whatever
it
is,
those
companies
are
very
competitive
in
the
sense
that
there's
a
million
people
trying
to
sell
to
them.
If
they
buy
your
product,
there's
something.
But
if
they
buy
your
product,
and
then
next
quarter
buy
some
more
of
your
product,
you
probably
have
a
company.
That's
the
biggest
indication
you
have
a
company,
land
and
expand.
For
instance,
one
famous
land
and
expand
story
in
tech
is
probably
Oracle.
Oracle
basically
licenses
their
software
somewhere
in
a
company.
And
then
they
just
watch
it
get
littered
throughout
the
company.
And
then
they
build
them
more
money.
It's
incredible.
That's
how
Larry
Ellison
did
it.
It's
brilliant.
But
that's
one
of
the
best
land
and
expands
you've
ever
seen.
And
that
is
the
key
thing.
Are
the
dogs
eating
dog
food,
or
are
the
people
drinking
the
champagne?
That's
what
matters.
What
doesn't
matter,
and
this
is
something
I'll
bring
up
for
you
[unclear], I see a lot of founders on LinkedIn going to all – they essentially travel North America going to these founder events and this stars investing and the –
Pablo
20:50
Conferences,
man.
Michael
20:50
Man,
we
party
here
and
conferences,
and
they're
on
stage.
And
they
take
a
photo
of
so-and-so
on
stage.
And
they're
at
this.
And
they're
meeting.
And
they're
networking.
I
think
90%
of
that,
99%
of
that
is
a
waste
of
time.
I
think
you
should
work
on
your
product
and
sell
your
product
to
a
company,
[unclear]
and
expand.
Every
meeting,
every
marketing,
I
mean,
every
rooftop
party
you're
going
to
is
just
–
just
count
it
as
a
vacation.
It
doesn't
matter.
You
know,
people
are
doing,
you
know,
like,
you
know,
victory
circles
when
they
get
funded.
You
know,
when
my
brother
and
I
would
get
funded,
we
–
you
know,
people
have
these
big
parties
when
they
get
funded.
I'm
like,
I
feel
almost
a
little
bit
of
shame.
Now
I
have
to
perform.
I'm
on
the
clock.
I
don't
have
time
to
like
have
a
party
about
it.
A
party
will
be
when
I
land
a
great
C-suite
person
or
a
big
client,
mainly
a
big
client
or
distributor
or
whatever.
Like
sales
is
what
you
should
party
about.
So
I
see
a
lot
of
people
probably
doing
the
wrong
things.
And
all
that
matters
is
your
product,
product
in
company
and
doesn't
land
and
expand.
Nothing
else
really
matters.
Nothing
else
matters.
Pablo
21:52
I
think
that's
right.
The
other
thing
that
we
were
talking
about
was,
you
know,
because
you
went
through
two
companies,
the
founder
during
Dotcom,
during
the
financial
recession
and
then
now
kind
of
on
the
other
side,
what
are
you
seeing
found
–
like,
you
know,
the
founders
that
are
–
you
can't
control
macro.
Whatever
happens,
happens.
So
the
founders
that
are
reacting
appropriately
to
the
changing
climate,
what
are
they
doing
and
what
are
the
other
ones
not
doing?
I'm
sure
you
have
both
in
your
portfolio.
Michael
22:19
The
ones
that
are
getting
funded
versus
not?
Pablo
22:21
Well,
the
ones
that
are
properly
reacting
to
the
changing
climate.
I
mean,
what
actions
are
we
taking
versus
the
ones
that
are,
you
know,
still
acting
like
it's
2021?
Hope is not a Strategy
Michael
22:30
Well,
okay,
so
the
biggest
thing
I
see
is
–
I
feel
bad
because
I
always
feel
like
the
guy
on
the
board
or
the
guy
–
people
call
me
for
advice.
And
I
give
it
to
them,
and
I
feel
bad.
Like
Michael,
like
just
shut
up
and
don't
say
anything,
just
–
like
a
lot
of
people
just
say,
“Oh,
you're
awesome,
man.”
Maybe
try
some
things
and
have
a
coffee
and
they
leave,
right?
And
I
can't
help
myself.
I'm
just
kind
of
barfing
up
what
I
really
think.
And
I
think
that
most
people
have
hope
as
the
strategy.
And
the
strategy
is
look
where
this,
they've
been
told
for
a
while.
And
they've
raised
all
this
money.
They've
got
these
great
investors.
But
things
aren't
going
that
well
because
of
this
and
that,
but
hope
that
they're
going
to,
hope
they're
going
to
–
and
I'm
like,
“Listen,
the
reality
is,
you're
going
to
be
out
of
money
in
this
amount
of
time
and
you
probably
–
you
know,
there
may
be
no
rescue
party.”
And
the
truth
is
that
if
you
–
I
think
we
said
this
last
year.
If
you
couldn't
get
to
kind
of
cash
positive
by
end
of
2023,
you
might
be
very
challenged.
As
we're
having
this
podcast
right
now
in
June
of
2023,
the
price
of
money
is
going
up,
not
down.
I
mean,
inflation
is
cooling.
But
the
FED,
to
make
sure
that
inflation
gets
to
2%
–
you
know,
we
started
at
eight
or
nine.
And
now
we're
down
to
four
or
five.
They're
going
to
stamp
this
thing
out
to
2%.
So
how
do
they
do
that?
They
raise
the
price
of
money.
And
they
raise
interest
rates
until
they
strangle
everybody.
And
here's
what
people
don't
want
to
hear,
is
that
they
don't
want
you
to
go
on
vacation.
They
don't
want
you
to
buy
a
car.
They
don't
want
you
to
buy
a
house.
They
don't
want
you
to
overspend.
They
want
to
cool
the
economy.
And
that
means
cooling
your
company,
cooling
people
buying
stuff
from
your
company.
And
when,
in
the
top
of
the
food
chain,
the
money
supply
starts
to
slow,
it
slows
to
the
sovereign
funds.
It
slows
to
the
private
equity.
It
slows
to
the
VCs.
VCs
can't
raise
funds.
It
all
slows
down.
And
that's
what
the
FED
wants.
And
what
the
US
FED
wanteth,
it'll
happen.
And
that's
what's
happening
in
this
situation.
So
the
hope
that
suddenly
they're
going
to
start
cutting
rates
in
September
and
everybody's
going,
yeah,
let's
just
–
everybody
spend
again
and
revenue's
all
that
matters.
I
don't
think
so.
I
think
that
party
will
happen
because
Wall
Street
has
a
very
short
term
memory,
2025,
2026,
right?
But
they're
going
to
cool.
Like
believe
Jerome
Powell,
the
head
of
the
FED,
that
says,
“I'm
going
to
cool
this
thing.”
People
say,
“Ah,
that
doesn't
really
matter.
That's
the
FED.
I'm
running
a
company.”
I'm
like,
it
matters
because
that's
–
you
are
not
going
to
get
more
money
easily.
What
do
I
see
right
now?
I
see
people
getting
money
at
3x
liquidation
prefs
with
30%
cap
discounts.
I
see
this,
this,
this.
I
see
money
getting
like
punishingly
difficult,
structured
products.
I
don't
see
many
people
just
putting
in
money
to
a
company.
They're
going
to
structure
the
product.
They're
going
to
take
the
press
stack.
And
what
does
that
mean
to
you
as
a
founder?
Your
little
common
shares
are
so
low
down
on
that
stack
that,
if
you
don't
sell
for
that
big
number,
those
common
shares
are
worthless.
They're
utterly
worthless.
And
they
will
get
eviscerated
fast,
like
that.
So
you
should
always
be
mindful
of
what
you
sell
your
widget
for.
But
I'm
telling
you,
there
is
no
cavalry
coming
right
now.
Because
even
though
inflation
is
cooling,
FED,
for
the
next,
I'd
say,
one
more
year
from
today
is
going
to
stamp
out
inflation,
which
means
that
they're
not
rolling
over
bonds.
They're
doing
quantitative
tightening.
They're
not
making
this
thing
happen.
Canada
just
woke
up
and
realized
maybe
we’ve
got
to
start
raising
interest
rates
even
faster
again.
And
I
think
there's
a
lot
of
noise
right
now
about
our
banks
and
the
housing.
And
they're
going
to
start
raising
it
faster.
So
we
could
see
a
five
and
a
half
in
the
US
or
higher,
and
same
thing
in
Canada.
And
that's
going
to
cause
some
massive
shocks
in
the
system
on
purpose
to
cool
the
economy.
And
that's
going
to
cool
your
company.
So
if
you
can't
get
to
cashflow
positive,
you're
going
to
have
to
do
some
very
fancy
things
in
your
company
to
raise
any
kind
of
capital.
And
it's
not
just
you.
It's
all
of
us.
It's
your
VC.
It's,
you
know,
everybody
you
can
imagine
in
this
ecosystem.
But
hope
should
not
be
your
strategy.
And
you
know,
if
you
have
a
high
burn
right
now,
I
mean,
I
don't
know
what
to
say
to
you.
Because
you've
been
warned
all
of
2023,
you
know.
Pablo
26:24
On
that,
do
you
think
founders
that
you're
seeing
–
like
do
you
think
founders
in
general
are
cutting
hard
enough,
fast
enough?
Michael
26:31
Yeah,
so
the
short
answer
is,
I
think
on
average,
no.
I
think
what
I'm
seeing
is
that
–
what
I
hear,
and
this
is
another
mistake
I
think
founders
make.
What
I
hear
is
this.
You
know,
if
I
cut
too
hard,
it'll
change
the
feng
shui
of
my
company
and
the
vibe.
Pablo
26:45
The
culture,
man,
it’s
–
Michael
26:46
The
culture,
man.
Pablo
26:47
Oh,
don't
get
me
started
on
that.
You
know
what
it
is
–
you
know
what
it
is,
Michael?
I
think
founders,
especially
first
time
founders,
think
culture
means
happiness.
Are
my
employees
happy?
Like
is
my
survey
score
99?
That's
not
culture.
I
mean,
pay
everybody
2x,
everybody's
going
to
be
happy.
But
what
have
you
done,
right?
Nothing.
It's Not About Who Goes but Who Stays
Michael
27:06
Well,
it's
a
little
more
than
that,
though.
It’s
this.
Let
me
just
make
it,
again,
abundantly
clear.
It's
not
about
who
goes.
It's
about
who
stays.
And
let
me
tell
you
something.
Your
culture
is
really
going
to
suck
when
you
have
to
like
fire
75%
of
your
staff
and
cut
the
rest
of
them
10
to
20%
in
salary.
Because
every
quarter
that
goes
along,
your
cut's
going
to
have
to
be
deeper.
But
you
know,
everybody
who's
made
a
big
cut,
I
hear
the
same
thing.
They
have
a
big
cut.
They
get
everybody
together
and
say,
“Okay,
bring
everybody
into
that
hug
and
let's
get
there
together.”
They
say
everything
[unclear]
fine
and
they
probably
should
have
cut
earlier.
What
I
do
hear
is
they
get
worried
about
culture
and
upsetting
their
friends
and
stuff
like
that.
But
you're
going
to
have
no
company
left.
There's
a
lot
of
bodies
on
this
road
right
now
of
people
that
–
if
I
ask
the
companies
that
have
gone
under
now,
“What
would
you
have
done
differently?”
Like
ones
that
have
filed
for
bankruptcy,
they
would've
said,
“18
months
ago,
I
would've
done
massive
cuts.”
They
would've
done
the
hard
things
that
they
were
worried
about
how
they
would
look,
or
what
The
Globe
might
write,
or
[unclear]
might
write
or
whatever.
And
these
things
don't
matter.
What
matters
is
you
protect
the
mothership.
And
if
you
don't
protect
it
by
making
the
cuts,
I
would
say
–
I'll
give
you
an
indication
of
how
far
you
have
to
cut
for
a
lot
of
people.
When
the
secondary
market
to
buy
shares
from
companies
right
now
is
averaging
[unclear]
secondary
deals
all
the
way
from
40
to
60%.
Let's
call
it
50.
That
means
that
people
are
buying
shares
at
50%
of
the
last
NAV
all
the
time
in
secondary
offerings.
Now,
you’ve
got
to
think
about
what
that
means
for
that
share
price
and
where
you
really
should
be,
right?
If
I
was
sitting
there
and
I
was
burning
cash,
I
would
say
the
calvary's
not
coming
for
at
least
12
more
months,
maybe
18
months.
So
you’ve
got
to
get
to
cash
positive.
And
that
might
mean
that
–
let's
say
you're
a
$10
million
company
losing
3
million
a
year.
I
would
rather
be
a
$7
million
company
making
$1
to
survive
this
desert,
this
apocalypse,
than
be
a
$12
million
company
and
go
wonder.
Pablo
29:01
That's
right.
Michael
29:02
Right?
That's
it.
That's
right.
You've
got
to
survive
the
desert.
Survive
the
desert,
protect
the
mothership
and
the
culture
you'll
be
known
for
is
–
by
the
way,
it's
very
easy
when
things
are
easy,
you're
raising
money,
to
get
high
fives,
and
leadership
and
go
on
all
these
retreats.
But
when
things
get
really
tough
like
now,
this
is
where
leaders
are
made.
And
leaders
are
people
that
are
–
they
bring
their
staff
in.
They're
honest
with
them.
They're
upfront.
And
they
just
say,
“Look
–
like
treat
your
staff
like
an
adult
and
tell
them
where
you're
really
at.
Ask
for
their
help.
Lean
in.
Bring
them
into
the
problem.
And
they'll
go,
“I
get
it,
man.
I
get
it.”
And
by
the
way,
they're
not
your
friends,
right?
These
people
have
husbands,
wives,
kids,
mortgages,
minivans.
Like
they
depend
on
you.
So
don't
lie
to
them.
Don't
hide
things
from
them.
Bring
them
in.
Be
truthful.
Be
honest.
Be
upfront.
Be
transparent.
And
I
think
that
they
deserve
that.
When
you
get
the
bad
reputation
and
should
be
called
out
for
is
when
you
lie
and
you
move
around.
Don't
tell
them
everything,
and
then
suddenly
you
shut
the
company
down
on
a
Tuesday
and
you
lock
everybody
up,
you
know?
And
that's
going
to
happen
to
some
people.
Pablo
30:06
And
I
don't
--
Michael
30:06
I
don’t
think
they're
serious
enough.
Pablo
30:08
I've
gone
through
like
–
I
was
on
the
other
side,
obviously
before,
as
a
first
time
founder.
It's
just
so
hard
to
do
this
because
you
spend
so
much
time
hiring
these
people
in
the
first
place.
Last
thing
you
want
to
do
is
fire
them.
But
I'm
telling
you,
I
mean,
I
did
–
we
did
like
this
kind
of
death
by
a
thousand
cuts,
right?
It's
like,
okay,
let's
just
do
10%.
I
know
it's
not
enough,
a
month
later,
right?
And
every
time
you're
telling
them,
“Oh,
it's
just
one
time.”
And
then
now
it's
the
second
time.
And
then
it's
the
third.
Now
nobody
believes
you,
right?
Versus
just
saying,
“Okay,
what's
going
to
be
the
one
thing
I
can
do,
one
action
that
after
I
do
it,
I'm
very
confident,
gives
me
a
runway
to
either
cash
flow
positive
or
at
least
like
a
seriously
long
runway
to
kind
of
get
there?”
And
just
do
that.
Michael
30:49
I
remember
in
2008
–
and
people
don't
realize
–
a
lot
of
young
founders
don't
know
this
because
they
weren't
really
founders
then.
But
that's
when
literally
it
was
very
frightening
because
we
actually
thought
money
was
going
to
stop
out
of
the
bank
telling
[unclear]
–
it
was
that
close,
right,
to
shutting
down,
AIG.
Like
it
was
an
utter
catastrophe.
But
they
cut
rates
to
zero
and
pumped
liquidity
to
the
market
and
saved
everybody.
But
when
that
happened,
in
that
six
month
period
where
we
realized
there
was
no
cavalry,
I
remember
I
cut
BlueCat
from
120
to
80
people
overnight.
And
people
called
me
extreme
and
all
the
rest
of
it.
And
I
remember
that
this
new
CEO
that
I
brought
in,
this
guy
Jack,
real
nice
guy,
older
guy,
to
help
me
out.
He
said,
“Wow
–
this
is
like
a
couple
of
quarters
later.
And
he’s
like,
“If
you
didn't
do
that
back
two
quarters
ago.
Wow,
you
saved
the
company.”
I'm
like,
“Yeah.”
Pablo
31:37
That's
the
difference
that
I'm
seeing
between
the
founders
that
are
acting
–
like
even
before
the
board
meeting
where
I
was
probably
going
to
be
like,
hey,
they
just
already
did
it,
right?
And
it
was
big.
And
it
was
just
like,
okay,
I
–
this
person's
just
on
it
and
this
person
understands
that
–
and
it's
not
like
they
enjoy
doing
it.
Everybody
hates
doing
it.
It's
just
like
there
is
no
other
way.
And
the
risk
of
the
company's
too
big.
And
the
best
people
will
get
it.
As
long
as
you
are
upfront
about
it,
you
do
it
the
right
way
and
you
do
it
early
enough,
by
the
way,
to
have
a
clear
story
where
you
can
go
to
the
best
people
that
are
left
over
and
say,
“Look,
now
we've
got
24
month’s
runway.
Now
we've
got,
you
know,
path
to
break
even
so
you
don't
have
to
worry
anymore.”
Like
okay,
that's
compelling.
Michael
32:21
Yeah,
we
got
profitable
fast.
And
then
we
got
really
profitable
later
on.
Because
BlueCat
was
a
slower
grower.
But
my
God,
did
it
print
out
a
lot
of
cash,
and
wow.
And
all
that
cash
is
doing
now,
it's
buying
companies
for
cash.
So
it's
actually
growing
inorganically
by
using
its
own
cash
flow,
which
is
the
biggest
compliment
in
the
world,
by
the
way.
I'm
very
proud
of
that
team.
But
you
know,
always
remember
that,
if
you
want
to
know
what
you
should
have
done,
go
talk
to
the
founders
that
lost
their
company.
And
they'll
tell
you
what
you
should
have
done
two
years
ago
and
they
wish
they
had.
And
they
will
all
say,
I
thought
my
investors
were
going
to
be
there
for
me.
I'm
like,
you
know
what?
I
think
that's
very
cocky.
Because
investors
are
not
there
to
put
in
more
money
because
it's
you,
right?
Money
is
competitive.
They've
got
to
put
it
into
certain
companies
or
a
lot
of
places
they
can
put
it.
And
they
can't
just
say
to
their
LPs,
“Well,
we
just
gave
them
more
money.”
And
they
have
to
put
that
money
responsibly
into
places
that
they
think
they're
going
to
get
a
return,
right?
They
just
can't
be
there
for
you.
That's
not
the
way
it
works.
That's
very
naive.
Pablo
33:25
I
agree
with
that.
Let
me
touch
on
one
final
segment
maybe
just
for
a
little
bit.
And
especially
because
you
went
through
Dotcom
as
a
founder.
You
had
a
company.
You
started
another
one
kind
of
in
the
tail
end
of
that.
But
you
know,
now
we're
going
through
this
AI
thing,
right?
And
just
like,
in
my
opinion,
like
the
internet,
like
there's
real
promise
here.
There's
real
stuff
that's
going
to
add
serious
value.
There's
also
tons
of
hype,
and
interestingly
enough,
tons
of
money.
There's
no
money
for
anybody
else.
There's
a
lot
of
money
for
AI.
You
know,
drawing
back
on
your
experience,
going
through,
you
know,
the
birth
of
the
internet,
any
thoughts
on
that?
Like
the
sort
of
things
that
are
worth
going
after,
the
ones
that
aren't,
you
know,
lessons
learned?
AI is Big and Profound but it's Not There Yet
Michael
34:03
Listen,
there
are
going
to
be
1
million
AI
companies.
And
there
are
going
to
be
very
few
that
make
it.
And
the
ones
that
do
are
going
to
be
very
profound.
The
next
Facebook
will
be
an
AI
company.
I
guess
that's
Open
AI.
I
don't
know.
Like
when
I
say
that
–
and
that
big
quantum,
big
company.
But
let's
go
back
to
basic
principles.
You
have
a
widget.
And
if
somebody
buys
it,
and
they
land
and
expand
and
want
to
use
it,
right?
Most
of
the
AI
stuff
I'm
seeing,
okay,
grant
it,
it's
early,
isn't
really
that
useful.
It's
kind
of
like
a
cool
party
trick.
Someone
shows
you
a
little
magic
trick
at
the
show.
Like,
ah,
it's
kind
of
cool.
Like
they
all
look
like
party
tricks
to
me.
Like
they
make
a,
you
know,
an
Avatar
talk
to
you
or.
Or
they
show
you
how
to
write
something,
whatever.
I
think
all
that
is
table
stakes.
I'm
talking
about
going
back
to
Peter
Thiel's
book,
which
I
think
is
one
of
the
best
ones
for
founders,
Zero
to
One,
and
say,
okay,
you're
making
a
claim
that
you're
100%
better,
not
good
enough.
It
has
to
be
10x.
It
has
to
be
10
times
better.
Because
at
100%,
you
can
quickly
get
to
like
10%
after,
you
know,
it
chums
down.
What
do
you
do?
What
secret
do
you
know
that
other
people
don't?
And
does
your
product
make
something
10
times
better?
Why
has
crypto
fundamentally
–
people
are
going
to
get
mad
at
me
for
this,
really
kind
of
failed?
Why
has
it
failed?
Because
it
didn't
squash
Visa,
MasterCard.
I
remember
all
that
stuff,
it's
going
to
ruin
Visa.
Like
Visa
is
much
bigger.
Like
it's
going
to
come
in
and
change
the
dynamic
of
how
we
trade
money.
It's
so
small.
Crypto
is
so
small,
it
doesn't
matter
all.
But
Bitcoin
and
BlackRock
is
coming
in.
Yeah,
okay,
at
the
end
of
the
day,
what
it
didn't
do,
is
crypto
didn't
come
in
and
say,
“I
am
going
to
fundamentally
change
something
by
a
factor
of
10x.”
You
could
make
the
argument
that
rare
countries
like,
you
know,
Venezuela
and
hyperinflation,
it's
good
for
them.
Fine,
but
that's
not
where
we
live,
right?
You
haven't
given
me
a
case
study
where
me,
you
and
everybody
you
know
in
Canada
can
just
do
something
on
the
blockchain
that
is
10
times
better
and
so
much
cheaper.
Like
now
I'm
going
to
start
taking
UberX
over
a
cab
because
it's
easier
and
cheaper.
Like
you
didn't
show
me
that,
right?
So
AI,
show
me
something,
show
me
AI
that
comes
into
my
life
and
I'm
just
like,
I
don't
need
to
do
that
anymore.
I
mean,
obviously,
you
don't
have
a
clock
radio
by
your
bed
because
you
have
one
of
these,
okay.
You
know,
you
can
use
a
level
if
you
want.
You
can
use
a
flashlight
if
you
want.
Look
at
all
the
things.
Yeah,
I
pay
a
lot
of
money
for
this.
But
it
has
a
lot
of
things
in
it.
There's
a
lot
of
–
clock
radio,
there's
a
lot
of
things
in
this,
right?
So
I'm
just
asking
you,
when
you
think
about
AI,
show
me
something
it
can
do.
And
I'll
give
you
a
couple
of
examples.
In
the
world
of
medicine,
it's
going
to
read
radiology
charts
better
than
a
radiologist
and
a
million
times
faster,
and
for
1
cent.
That's
a
winner.
That's
a
winner.
How
about
in
legal?
You
need
to
write
up
a
factum,
or
a
lawsuit
or
resolution.
It
writes
it
for
you.
It's
not
perfect.
But
then
I
give
that
to
a
lawyer.
And
instead
of
50
hours,
it's
going
to
take
three
hours.
That's
a
winner,
okay?
Like
accounting,
same
thing.
Like
show
me
something
it
does
that's
10
times
better.
And
then
I'll
show
you,
okay,
that's
a
company,
right?
Like
you
know,
you
look
at
these
companies
like
that
can
come
in
and
do
customer
service
through
AI
and
chatbots
like
[unclear]
in
Toronto.
Like
can
they
come
in
and
really
take
out
the
customer
service
and
all
the
people
and
then
make
it
10
times
better
and
faster?
And
I
think
they're
on
that
path.
And
I
think,
well,
if
that's
the
case,
then
that's
a
winner,
right?
It'll
dramatically
change
–
I
can
do
something
different.
So
the
promise
of
AI
is
only
worth
it
if
it
changes
the
paradigm
and
changes
the
cost
center
by
a
factor
10.
It
has
to
break
the
center.
Uber
broke
the
taxi
dispatcher.
That's
what
it
broke.
So
you’ve
got
to
break
something.
And
saying
all
that,
I
believe
that
the
large
language
modules
that
you're
seeing
are
running
on,
you
know,
supervised
learning
and
all
that
kind
of
stuff.
And
I
think
that
there's
a
lot
of
stuff
coming
from
reinforced
learning
that's
going
to
even
better.
I
still
think,
and
I
just
went
to
the
Creative
Destruction
Lab
last
week,
the
super
session.
And
I'll
give
you
the
–
they
had
the
world
leading
experts
on
AI.
And
I'm
going
to
give
you
the
summary,
their
summary,
on
AI
today.
The
summary
is
this.
It's
big.
It's
profound.
It's
going
to
change
everything.
But
we're
not
there
yet.
And
I
think
that's
the
truest
thing
I've
seen.
I
mean,
you
have
to
get
to
like
Chat
GPT
six
or
seven
to
make
it
that
awe,
inspiring
version.
We're
still
mucking
around
with
the
yearly
iPhone
and
the
yearly
iPod
and
the
wheel.
But
it's
going
to
get
there.
But
we
need
one
or
two
more
years
to
really
have
that
germination.
And
that's
what
I
think
–
that's
what
we're
looking
at
right
now.
So
remember
the
10
x
concept.
And
remember
AI
will
change
everything.
We're
not
good
at
–
as
Ray
Kurzweil
says
at
Google,
we're
not
good
at
seeing
things
exponentially
forward.
But
we're
not
there
yet.
We
will
get
there.
It
will
change
everything.
And
I
do
believe
AI
is
going
to
dramatically
assist
us
as
humans
in
getting
a
lot
of
things
done
in
medicine,
and
law
and
in
cybersecurity.
Everything
we
can
imagine
is
going
to
change.
And
it's
going
to
take
time.
And
there's
going
to
be
some
winners,
mostly
losers,
that
just
try
to
kind
of,
you
know,
[unclear]
something
together
from
Chat
GPT,
you
know.
When
I
hear
like,
you
know,
we're
the
Uber
of,
or
we're
the
Chat
GPT
of,
then
I
already
know
that
maybe
we're
in
trouble
in
that
conversation.
Yeah,
I
mean,
like
look
at
blockchain
like.
Like
blockchain,
for
example,
is
really
useful.
But
that
should
be
like
using
Excel.
It
should
be
just
something
you're
using
to
get
somewhere.
Like
AI
is
really
useful.
But
that
should
just
be
part
of
the
story
to
get
there.
Pablo
39:31
That
makes
total
sense.
I
what
I
will
say,
maybe
just
ending
on
this
note,
like
we've
talked
a
lot
about
how
times
are
tough,
and
all
the
sort
of
like
it's
kind
of
wartime
right
now,
and
all
the
tough
actions
you
have
to
take.
I
will
say,
on
the
positive
front,
we
are
in
a
unique
time.
It
comes
every
15
years,
right?
You
could
look
at
mobile,
the
internet.
What's
happening
with
AI
and
what's
going
to
happen
with
mixed
reality
inevitably.
We
can
talk
about
timelines.
But
it's
going
to
happen
because
Apple
is
getting
in
the
game,
is
a
huge
opportunity
for
the
founders
that
are
active
today
and
can
play
a
role
in
truly
game
changing
companies
versus
incremental
ones,
right?
Which
I
think,
you're
–
you
know,
you're
inventing
in
2015,
2016,
you
can't
ride
any
massive
waves.
Whereas
you
can
right
now.
You
could
have
in
'08
and
you
could
have
in
the
–
you
know,
in
the
'90s
sort
of
thing.
So
anyways,
it's
been
great.
Great
having
you,
Michael.
Michael
40:21
I
think
you're
exactly
right.
I
think
this
is
another
quantum
shift
moment.
And
quantum,
by
the
way,
is
going
to
be
very
big.
Just
not
yet,
but
it's
coming.
But
it's
a
very,
very
exciting
time.
And
I'm
a
super
optimist.
I
think
the
world
is
getting
dramatically
better.
When
you
step
back
and
you
stop
looking
at
four-year
electoral
cycles
but
look
at
it
as
a
decade,
you
know,
everything's
going
up
to
the
right.
The
world
is
getting
dramatically
better.
I
mean,
would
you
like
medicine
from
today
or
would
you
like
medicine
from
2040
when
you
go
to
the
hospital?
Of
course,
everybody
listening
to
this
says
2040,
but
why
do
you
say
2040?
Because
you
know
the
world
is
getting
better.
So
the
world
is
getting
better.
So
be
an
optimist
about
that.
From
the
tough
time
in
this
market,
things
will
regulate.
And
I
think
we're
going
to
great
create
some
great
founders
and
great
businesses.
Because
the
ones
that
make
it
through
this
time,
the
profitable
businesses,
I
think
will
be
superstars
in
the
later
'20s.
Pablo
41:12
Let
me
ask
one
last
question
because
I
forgot
–
almost
forgot
to
ask
it.
If
you
could
go
back
to
your
early
days
as
a
founder,
Dyadem
days,
maybe
early
BlueCat
days,
with
one
lesson,
what
might
that
be?
Don't Confuse Building a Company and Having a Life
Michael
41:26
Don't
confuse
building
a
company
and
having
a
life.
I
was
very
blessed
in
my
life,
late
in
life,
to
have
three
beautiful
daughters.
But
I
had
them
late.
And
I
was
always
so
like,
when
I
get
to
here
–
okay,
here's
a
really
critical
lesson.
There
was
this
really
famous
author
that
went
–
this
is
back
in
the
18
hundreds,
went
to
one
of
the
richest
man's
homes.
And
somebody
said,
“Oh,
look
over
there.
There's
the
richest
man
in
the
world.”
And
his
comment
was,
“But
I
have
something
he
doesn't.”
And
he
said,
“What's
that?”
He
says,
“Enough.”
And
the
interesting
thing
about
this
conversation
is
that
what
we
do
as
founders,
you
say,
when
I
get
my
first
this
amount
of
money,
when
I
get
to
this
hill,
I'm
going
to
stop
and
then
have
a
life.
No,
then
you
get
to
the
top
of
that
hill.
And
then
you
say,
“Oh,
look
at
that
hill.”
You
go
to
that
hill.
And
then
you
get
to
the
top
of
that
hill.
And
there's
less
people
at
this
hill.
And
they're
like,
well,
I
should
–
oh,
then
you
see
another
hill.
And
you
keep
going.
And
time
flies.
And
you
conflate
two
things,
which
is
building
and
making
money,
and
having
a
life.
The
best
founders,
I
think,
can
balance
those
two
things.
Having
children
is
not
for
everybody.
I
was
very
blessed
to
have
three
children.
I
had
twins
like
late
in
life.
And
the
universe
just
allowed
this
to
happen.
And
it's
the
biggest
blessing
of
my
life.
And
it’s
intense
amount
of
happiness
in
my
life.
But
I
was
always
very
worried
about,
you
know
–
back
before
the
pandemic
and
stuff,
our
badge
of
honor
is
how
many
air
miles
do
you
have?
Like,
what's
your
grade
on
the
air
mile?
Do
you
have
the
elite,
super
elite?
What's
your
badge
of
honor?
You
know,
it's
stupid.
And
it
never
really
mattered.
And
we
had
the
wrong
priorities.
Remember
to
live
a
little.
Remember
we're
not
here
for
long.
I'll
give
you
one
last
lesson,
which
is
–
I
think
is
important,
I'll
part
for
everybody,
very
personal
to
me.
My
father
passed
away
this
year.
And
he
was
in
palliative.
And
when
you
go
to
a
hospital
where
they
allow
you
to
die
over
there,
your
last
weeks,
what
you'll
see
is
20
different
rooms
and
20
people
dying.
And
they
all
have
the
same
mattresses,
same
bed
sheets,
same
everything.
And
the
wealth
of
a
man,
of
a
person,
is
purely
measured
by
who's
visiting.
That's
it.
My
father
was
an
extremely
wealthy
man
because
he
had
so
many
people
coming
to
visit,
these
three
sons
and
all
these
grandkids,
all
coming
in.
They
had
to
kick
us
out,
give
us
a
private
room
because
we
were
so
annoying.
My
God,
he
was
the
wealthiest
man
on
that
floor.
That's
how
you
got
–
you
entered
naked.
You're
going
to
go
naked.
And
you
have
the
same
bed
sheets
as
the
next
guy,
and
the
next.
You
couldn't
tell
who
had
a
dollar,
who
had
a
whatever,
you
know.
And
prospectively,
on
life,
you
know,
your
wealth
will
be
measured
by
the
relationships
you
make
and
the
happiness
you
create
out
of
that.
You're
going
to
make
money.
That's
one
thing.
But
don't
conflate,
you
know,
those
two
things.
Don't
wait
to
have
a
life
as
a
founder
because
you
kind
of
do
that
too
often.
That's
my
biggest
piece
of
advice.